Elon Musk told Ron Baron he's building a chip that will be 2 to 3 times better than NVIDIA - at 10% of the cost

[Daniel Nenni]

Elon Musk told Ron Baron he's building a chip that will be 2 to 3 times better than NVIDIA - at 10% of the cost "I have the entire physical design of the chip laid out in memory - I can visualize the whole thing "when TSMC told him a new fab takes 5 years he said: "five years to me is an eternity - my timelines go one year, two year, and at year three it goes to infinity" so he's building his own Tesla's self-driving has logged 10 billion miles - 4 times safer than a human driver - with the new chip it will be 10x"I don't own any vacation homes - just one house in Austin and a tiny house at Starbase - friends come to visit and they think I'm kidding" watch the full conversation ↓

https://twitter.com/x/status/2064102037193695404

"I have the entire physical design of the chip laid out in memory - I can visualize the whole thing".

Is this on Samsung logic 2nm? Or Samsung 10nm memory?

Terafab is far far away...

 

[MKWVentures]

Is this on Samsung logic 2nm? Or Samsung 10nm memory?

Terafab is far far away...

They dont know what terafab will be, what their Intel partnership will be, what the chips they plan to make are, etc. Its a good vision. Vision to Chips is 5 years

I was at a conference one time and talking with a start up company selling investors on its innovative chip that would be in mass production next year. I asked "who is the foundry and what node". they said " we havent made that decisions, maybe you could help us with the negotiations" .... shockingly, they are no longer a company. asking details normally tells the whole story

 

[siliconbruh999]

Talk is cheap Show me the A0 silicon

 

[Xebec]

Talk is cheap Show me the A0 silicon

Intel C0 silicon is now a collectors item..

 

[blueone]

Intel C0 silicon is now a collectors item..

Why? Because it might actually work flawlessly?

 

[KevinK]

"five years to me is an eternity - my timelines go one year, two year, and at year three it goes to infinity"

Except when Full Self-Driving (FSD) time dilation sets in. In that case, every promise, from 3 months to 3 years actually takes infinite time.

 

[DanX]

20%-30% at the price of TSMC is possible .

 

[hist78]

Except when Full Self-Driving (FSD) time dilation sets in. In that case, every promise, from 3 months to 3 years actually takes infinite time.

I lost track about Elon Musk's predictions about going FSD. So I asked Claude:

It's a long and well-documented history of missed deadlines. Here's a timeline:

2013 — Musk began publicly stating estimated timelines for full autonomy as far back as 2013. (Wikipedia)

2015 — Musk predicted "complete autonomy" within two years — meaning by 2017. (Electrek)

2016 — Tesla announced all vehicles had the hardware for full self-driving, and Musk promised a fully autonomous drive from LA to New York by end of 2017. (Electrek) That never happened.

2017–2019 — He predicted drivers would be able to sleep at the wheel "in about two years."

2020–2022 — He promised almost every year since 2020 that Tesla vehicles would achieve full self-driving capabilities. (aol)

2023 — Musk called himself the "boy who cried FSD" — an admission of his repeated missed targets. (aol)

July 2023 — Predicted FSD would be better than human drivers by end of 2023. Missed.

October 2024 — Predicted unsupervised FSD would launch in Texas and California in 2025.

2025 (most recent) — Musk said unsupervised FSD would be "widespread" in the US by year-end — again. (Electrek)

The count is well into the double digits across over a decade. Each year brings a new deadline, and each deadline slips. His track record on self-driving timelines is considered one of the most well-documented histories of broken promises in the tech industry.

 

[KevinK]

The count is well into the double digits across over a decade. Each year brings a new deadline, and each deadline slips. His track record on self-driving timelines is considered one of the most well-documented histories of broken promises in the tech industry.

We have a 2014 Model S and a 2018 Model 3. FSD is a running joke in our household (both were allegedly FSD ready). The 2018 with FSD computer upgrade performs about as well as being chauffeured by a 16 year old when complications arise.