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Pete Hegseth: US will go to war to stop China from taking Taiwan

Not wanting to get into politics here, but Hong Kong was only held by the UK on a 99 year lease which expired in 1997. It most definitely was not a case of "not defending it any more". Legally it had to be returned. The only thing up for debate was the details of how the transition was managed. There is no parallel to the Taiwan situation here.
There were there parts of Hong Kong - Hong Kong island, Kowloon, and the New Terrorities. Only the later two were subject to 99 year lease. Hong Kong island was ceded to UK permanently. Legally they didn't need to return the Hong Kong island, but it was too hard to defend the island and they negotiated a 50-year agreement to keep capitalist system instead.
 
A lot of people in Taiwan do not believe US will assist Taiwan and the gap in terms of military capabilities is too large for Taiwan to defence itself. What they want is peaceful resolution. I don't think TSM is helping here.

In '19 the same youtuber talked about China wanna pay him 330k USD sign-up fee and 50k USD monthly fee for him to stand with their side.
Probably he decided to take the money this year, i.e. his point of view in the video is from Chinese gov't instead of his own.
 
In '19 the same youtuber talked about China wanna pay him 330k USD sign-up fee and 50k USD monthly fee for him to stand with their side.
Probably he decided to take the money this year, i.e. his point of view in the video is from Chinese gov't instead of his own.
It doesn't really matter who pays him. He is a proxy of a portion of population.

1749956842914.png
 
I remember practicing hiding under our desks in elementary school in case Russia bombed us. We built pretend fallout shelters. Seriously, this was in the 1960s and we were all pretty scared. This was in California by the way, not Kansas. Baby boomers, am I right? :ROFLMAO:
Thanks Dan - memories of that training, of knowing the routes into the school basement, are still vivid.
 
The US has a permanent garrison in South Korea and in Japan, but not TW. This situation has existed for a long time. It is a bit like a bullfighter waving a flag at a bull, encouraging it to run at TW (not JP or Korea). It may be a bit of a trap. Or perhaps, TW is the battleground that the Pacific allies deliberately chose. A war in the Straits could be a somewhat more contained war, less likely to become nuclear.

Another message: Sent from Trump to Canada: Get a military that could defend the USA invading. Canada is one of the worst free riders in NATO. A stronger Canada could also boost Pacific defense.

And the most obvious message, from Hegseth to European powers: You will soon be on your own with Russia. Providing incentives for Europeans to increase defense spending so the USA can focus on the Pacific.

All this architecture existed long before TSMC. Is there a key semiconductor technology in a DJI drone, that might be the balance of power (ie TSMC makes it, China or USA controls it, and that determines the wars outcome)? It seems plausible. It would be ironic if TW was unaware of it and continued to supply it to CCP, arming their enemy.
 
I am from China, and the Taiwan issue has become unpredictable. Most people in Taiwan are unwilling to reunify with China, but the military power gap has grown too large. After the Russia-Ukraine war, Trump’s passive stance has surely encouraged China to take a more proactive approach to resolving the issue.

In the worst-case scenario: a military invasion. In the best-case scenario: a military blockade. China is actively preparing, and its semiconductor industry is nearly capable of complete decoupling (above 28nm). I have a pessimistic outlook on this issue.
 

The DPP would have lost the election if the other parties had collaborated. As far as I understand, the person visiting China supports the TPP. Based on the election results, a large portion of the population—at least 50%—seems to prefer a non-military resolution.

I am not sure why you are spreading CCP's falsehood in this forum.

You repeatedly try to equate "peaceful resolution" to be the same as "surrendering to CCP China", and "at least 50%" Taiwanese prefer and are ready for that.

That's just entirely not true! From the small sample of about a dozen of Taiwanese people I work with on a regular basis, not a single person is ready to do what you are saying. Of course who wouldn't prefer peace? But no one is ready to unify with today's CCP, peacefully or militarily !

I really enjoyed and learned from many of your previous comments on AI and specs and performance, etc., but can't agree with your viewpoint on geopolitics and Taiwanese people. Almost copy and pasted from CCP propaganda pamphlets.
 
US military stockpile was already getting depleted with the Ukraine-Russia war; now we have to deal with the Israel-Iran war, and likely have to supply Israel as well.

I read today that the Nimitz carrier group is leaving the South China sea and is heading to the Middle East. Only one carrier group remains in the Western Pacific. Also 2 of China's carrier groups are already east of Taiwan.

30% of S&P500 depends directly on TSMC and Taiwan. Are we leaving the hen house to the fox?

It almost seems like it's playing out like the way ancient Chinese strategist Sun Tzu preached - "The greatest victory is that which requires no battle."

I hope our military decision-makers know what they're doing.
 
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